Pre-tourney Rankings
Ohio Valley
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
50 Belmont 100.0%   12   24 - 6 14 - 2 24 - 6 14 - 2 +9.9      +6.4 37 +3.5 83 70.0 110 +9.2 54 +8.3 1
122 Eastern Kentucky 0.0%   22 - 9 12 - 4 22 - 9 12 - 4 +3.0      +5.9 43 -2.9 256 63.5 261 +3.6 117 +4.6 2
139 Murray St. 0.0%   19 - 10 10 - 6 19 - 10 10 - 6 +1.6      +1.6 133 0.0 171 68.4 149 +2.9 125 -2.1 4
166 Tennessee St. 0.0%   16 - 14 11 - 5 16 - 14 11 - 5 0.0      +1.9 128 -1.9 227 71.8 81 +0.4 164 +2.8 3
213 Jacksonville St. 0.0%   15 - 11 8 - 8 15 - 11 8 - 8 -2.6      0.0 174 -2.6 247 60.8 297 -0.6 181 -2.7 6
225 Southeast Missouri St. 0.0%   15 - 16 8 - 8 15 - 16 8 - 8 -3.6      +1.2 146 -4.8 294 71.8 78 -5.6 251 -5.2 7
230 Morehead St. 0.0%   13 - 18 8 - 8 13 - 18 8 - 8 -3.9      -2.0 227 -1.9 228 74.8 41 -2.7 212 -2.5 5
271 Eastern Illinois 0.0%   11 - 20 6 - 10 11 - 20 6 - 10 -6.6      -0.9 195 -5.6 312 55.4 344 -7.9 288 -8.2 9
278 Tennessee Tech 0.0%   10 - 17 5 - 11 10 - 17 5 - 11 -6.9      -4.4 283 -2.6 243 66.9 183 -5.5 250 -7.2 8
306 SIU Edwardsville 0.0%   7 - 18 5 - 11 7 - 18 5 - 11 -9.4      -6.6 315 -2.8 253 68.1 156 -10.1 309 -9.9 11
314 Austin Peay 0.0%   6 - 23 4 - 12 6 - 23 4 - 12 -9.9      -2.5 240 -7.4 333 74.1 49 -12.0 322 -11.5 12
334 Tennessee Martin 0.0%   7 - 21 5 - 11 7 - 21 5 - 11 -14.1      -6.3 310 -7.9 337 72.6 67 -11.2 316 -9.0 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Belmont 1.0 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 2.0 100.0
Murray St. 4.0 100.0
Tennessee St. 3.0 100.0
Jacksonville St. 5.0 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 5.0 100.0
Morehead St. 5.0 100.0
Eastern Illinois 8.0 100.0
Tennessee Tech 9.0 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 9.0 100.0
Austin Peay 12.0 100.0
Tennessee Martin 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Belmont 14 - 2 100.0
Eastern Kentucky 12 - 4 100.0
Murray St. 10 - 6 100.0
Tennessee St. 11 - 5 100.0
Jacksonville St. 8 - 8 100.0
Southeast Missouri St. 8 - 8 100.0
Morehead St. 8 - 8 100.0
Eastern Illinois 6 - 10 100.0
Tennessee Tech 5 - 11 100.0
SIU Edwardsville 5 - 11 100.0
Austin Peay 4 - 12 100.0
Tennessee Martin 5 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Belmont 100.0% 100.0
Eastern Kentucky
Murray St.
Tennessee St.
Jacksonville St.
Southeast Missouri St.
Morehead St.
Eastern Illinois
Tennessee Tech
SIU Edwardsville
Austin Peay
Tennessee Martin


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Belmont 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.1 0.9 5.4 21.9 68.6 3.1
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Belmont 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 38.2% 13.9% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Eastern Kentucky 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacksonville St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southeast Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morehead St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Tech 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SIU Edwardsville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Austin Peay 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee Martin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 38.2% 0.4 61.8 38.2
Sweet Sixteen 13.9% 0.1 86.1 13.9
Elite Eight 3.7% 0.0 96.3 3.7
Final Four 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Final Game 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Champion 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1